The One Metric That Has Decided Every Presidential Winner Since 1988...And Trump Has a Lock on It
Comment from Matt Vespa's, Townhall.com article The One Metric
Valorius • 41 minutes ago • edited
I, Valorius, compiled all the facts in the tweets into an easily copy/pastable format to use on other sites, if anyone is interested:
Observe the following historical facts:
No senator who has ever served more than 15 years in the Senate has ever won the presidency
Trump is only the 5th Incumbent to win over 90% of his parties primary votes since 1912
The previous 4 all won
Trump had the 4th highest primary vote total in US history.
Trump absolutely shattered the all time primary vote total record by an incumbent, at 18.1 million votes
The previous record holder was bill clinton, who received 9.1 million votes
No incumbent has ever received more than 75% of his parties primary voter turnout and lost the election
Trump won 94% of the R primary voter turn out in 2020
No
presidents since the primary system was introduced has ever lost the
election without a major in party contender or a major third party
candidate
Trump faces neither in 2020
The president with the enthusiasm edge has won every election since 1988
In a new poll by ABC Trump has a +19 enthusiasm edge
3 Times there has been a Pres election during a pandemic
The incumbent is 3-0
Biden desperately needs record youth voter turnout to win
Youth voter enthusiasm/engagement is at the lowest level seen since 2000
All data compiled by David Chapman, Poll watch
Comments:
Americans are being told to hate their country, hate some of our leaders (the ones that actually get things done), and surrender all their hard earned wealth and belongings, or be called names. Well call me names. I don't have any black acquaintenances that would call me an enemy. I've had a bunch of black tenants, some of which call me their 'old man' as a loving gesture. The hate is all on the left. Hate, hate, hate is all they do. I hate them back. They won't take from me without a fight, just ask the bureaucrats and scamsters who have tried.
Joe thinks you have no right to know . If Joe will stack the Courts with looney left lawless liberals
Joe will let let you know . What he will do after the election. > " Joe will you stack the courts ? Come on man ask me after the election "
Manowar • 31 minutes ago Here's a poll question: "Do you think that America would elect a man who is showing signs of decreased mental capacity?"
Rufus McGee • 6 hours ago • edited Wonder how the polls would be if Trump didn't have to put up with 95% negative reporting and supernova-level hatred from virtually every communication medium.
MacZ Rufus McGee • 4 hours ago My theory is that is why his voters will not budge. It’s the dishonesty and lack of integrity from the left and especially the MSM.
DemWhoWalkedAway • 3 hours ago I LOVE President Trump! Watching him at the rally in Florida tonight you saw a man of vitality sharing a vision of a bright future for America and a glowing record of accomplishments. Then there's Joe Hidin'...a sad easily manipulated weakling who most days now is finished by 10:00 AM. America would be the laughing stock of the universe if he were to become President.
America First! Trump 2020!
bicepeak DemWhoWalkedAway • an hour ago I have noticed in Biden commercials, when he should be in his most favorable light, he puts on an earnest look, but there is a vacant dementia look in his eyes. I wonder if his commercials turn more voters away than attract them.
DemWhoWalkedAway bicepeak • an hour ago I really think they do. I cringe that he is being subjected to demands that are overtaxing him cognitively. Who wants to vote for a President for whom they feel sorry? He is not deserving of the office. He is being used by the Socialist Democrat party. They have no scruples.
DemWhoWalkedAway Jay Williams • an hour ago The Obama-Biden administration was a fraud. They never put America first. President Trump does and that is why he is beloved by so many. He is the President of the patriotic and the proud. Biden is the puppet of the perpetually miserable.
RadioWonder • 4 hours ago Like all us pro-Trump voters...I will crawl over glass to vote for Donald Trump. Does anyone feel that way about Sleepy Joe?
Chris RadioWonder • 4 hours ago The typical dem registered voter is will not inconvenience themselves waiting in a line to vote. Which is why the dem party is pushing mail-in ballots, the voters have no enthusiasm for Biden and they aren't going to crawl over glass for him.
Btw, the latest Gallup Poll had an enthusiasm gap of 28 points....the largest in their polling history.
Valorius • 4 hours ago • ★★★★★★★★★★FUN FACT YOU WONT SEE ON MOST US NEWS:
WHO totally reversed itself, and has asked all governments world wide to immediately end lockdowns for cv19, which have "doubled global poverty and child malnutrition"
FUN!
HandsomeMrToad Valorius • 4 hours ago The fact that a policy-making body changes its recommendation as circumstances change and new information becomes known, makes the body MORE reliable, not less reliable.
Valorius HandsomeMrToad • 4 hours ago So are you excited that the WHO says all global lockdowns must end immediately because they are killing untold millions, especially children?
HandsomeMrToad Valorius • 4 hours ago Well, let's not exaggerate. What WHO said was that TOTAL lockdowns are not a good PRIMARY means of controlling the virus. (I'm not sure what you mean by "global lockdown". What is a "global lockdown"?)
I will be excited when the opera companies can re-open. I'm still looking forward to singing Turandot.
Valorius HandsomeMrToad • 4 hours ago you seem to be missing the forest through the trees.
he WHO completely reversed itself on lockdowns over the weekend
now calling for the IMMEDIATE end to all lockdowns, world wide, citing irreparable damage and death
WHO Envoy Dr. Nabarro:"The only time we believe a lockdown is justified is to buy you time to reorganize, regroup, rebalance your resources, protect your health workers who are exhausted, but by and large, we’d rather not do it.”
“Lockdowns just have one consequence that you must never ever belittle, and that is making poor people an awful lot poorer,”“Look what’s happened to smallholder farmers all over the world. Look what’s happening to poverty levels. It seems that we may well have a doubling of world poverty by next year. We may well have at least a doubling of child malnutrition.”
“And so, we really do appeal to all world leaders: stop using lockdown as your primary control method. Develop better systems for doing it. Work together and learn from each other,” he concluded.
HandsomeMrToad Valorius • 4 hours ago That doesn't change my point. Lockdowns were never supposed to be long-term or permanent. They are useful when an epidemic is beginning, and you need them to slow the spread of the pathogen and get you some time to develop a response and to avoid overwhelming your health-care workers with a huge spike in workload.
Modifying, or even reversing, their recommendations as new information becomes known makes agencies like WHO more reliable.
iamcrm HandsomeMrToad • 4 hours ago It’s the same organization that said the virus wasn’t transmittable from human to human. They listened to Chinese lies and didn’t even try to get the full story.
These are lying bureaucrats, on the take and they did China’s bidding. They have no credibility.
HandsomeMrToad iamcrm • 4 hours ago They are trying to do a very complicated job. You have to compromise with your members, or they will walk out and then you won't accomplish anything at all.
Labels: One Metric, Townhall.com, Voting Pool
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